Gastroenterology Research, ISSN 1918-2805 print, 1918-2813 online, Open Access
Article copyright, the authors; Journal compilation copyright, Gastroenterol Res and Elmer Press Inc
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Original Article

Volume 13, Number 5, October 2020, pages 184-198


A Systematic Literature Review and Meta-Analysis Describing the Prevalence of KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF Gene Mutations in Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1. Publication bias: KRAS. Egger’s regression test: two-tailed P value = 0.014. Duval and Tweedie method added 64 “missing” studies to the left of the mean, resulting in an adjusted prevalence estimate of 31.7% (30.3% - 33.2%).
Figure 2.
Figure 2. Publication bias: BRAF. Egger’s regression test: two-tailed P value = 0.001. Duval and Tweedie method added 45 “missing” studies to the right of the mean, resulting in an adjusted prevalence estimate of 8.6% (7.8% - 9.5%).
Figure 3.
Figure 3. Publication bias: NRAS. Egger’s regression test: two-tailed P value = 0.112.

Tables

Table 1. Overall Prevalence of KRAS Mutations in mCRC and Subgroups
 
N studiesfSummary prevalence (95% CI)P-Het; I2P value for heterogeneity within subgroups
aGlobal exon estimate (most global estimate for a given exon contained within a manuscript); bCodon specified in papers as existing within exon 2; cCodon specified in papers as existing within exon 1, exon 2, or unspecified; dP values assess differences between global exon estimates only; eCategories not mutually exclusive as some studies used multiple forms of mutation assessment methods, P value not calculated; fIndividual studies may contribute multiple prevalence estimates derived from independent study arms; so N refers to the number of independent prevalence estimates included in summary measure and may exceed the actual number of studies. mCRC: metastatic colorectal cancer; CI: confidence interval.
Overall28835.9% (34.6% - 37.3%)< 0.001; 92.6%
Exon 1a1435.5% (30.3% - 41.1%)< 0.001; 75.4%
Exon 2a7639.1% (37.1% - 41.3%)< 0.001; 85.4%
  Codon 12b2429.1% (26.3% - 32.1%)< 0.001; 86.2%
  Codon 12c5029.0% (26.9% - 31.2%)< 0.001; 83.9%
    Gly12Ala593.3% (2.7% - 3.9%)< 0.001; 77.8%< 0.001
    Gly12Arg360.9% (0.6% - 1.4%)< 0.001; 82.9%
    Gly12Asp8514.6% (13.3% - 16.1%)< 0.001; 90.8%
    Gly12Cys613.5% (3.0% - 4.1%)< 0.001; 76.1%
    Gly12Phe50.2% (0.1% - 0.6%)0.035; 61.3%
    Gly12Ser622.8% (2.2% - 3.6%)< 0.001; 88.8%
    Gly12Val8710.2% (9.1% - 11.4%)< 0.001; 89.6%
    Other codon 12150.9% (0.3% - 2.9%)< 0.001; 96.9%
  Codon 13b199.0% (7.9% - 10.2%)< 0.001; 62.7%
  Codon 13c398.6% (7.7% - 9.5%)< 0.001; 55.2%
    Gly13Arg80.2% (0.1% - 0.7%)0.001; 72.0%< 0.001
    Gly13Asp828.6% (7.6% - 9.6%)< 0.001; 85.0%
    Gly13Cys150.7% (0.4% - 1.2%)< 0.001; 82.7%
    Gly13Ser40.3% (0.0% - 4.8%)< 0.001; 90.9%
    Gly13Val80.4% (0.1% - 1.8%)< 0.001; 80.2%
Exon 3a92.9% (1.9% - 4.4%)0.009; 60.9%
  Codon 61142.7% (2.1% - 3.5%)0.001; 62.0%
    Gln61Arg40.4% (0.2% - 0.6%)0.810; 0.0%0.016
    Gln61His111.6% (0.7% - 3.5%)< 0.001; 92.3%
    Gln61Leu50.7% (0.2 %- 2.2%)0.004; 73.9%
    Other codon 6130.2% (0.0% - 1.8%)< 0.001; 89.3%
Exon 4a85.0% (4.1% - 6.2%)0.228; 25.2%
  Codon 14692.5% (1.9% - 3.3%)0.134; 35.5%
P value between exonsd< 0.001
Sex
  Male5537.3% (35.1% - 39.7%)< 0.001; 76.9%0.011
  Female5742.2% (39.3% - 45.2%)< 0.001; 81.7%
Median age of study population
  < 627737.0% (34.3% - 39.8%)< 0.001; 92.6%0.544
  ≥ 6210236.0% (33.8% - 38.1%)< 0.001; 90.6%
Meta-regression on median age1790.004 (-0.012 - 0.020)N/A0.612
Race
  < 88% White/Caucasian2137.8% (32.4% - 43.4%)< 0.001; 94.1%0.401
  ≥ 88% White/Caucasian1734.1% (28.1% - 40.7%)< 0.001; 91.1%
Study location
  Asia6431.8% (28.3% - 35.5%)< 0.001; 93.2%0.025
  Australia727.3% (19.1% - 37.5%)< 0.001; 97.9%
  Europe14637.3% (35.2% - 39.3%)< 0.001; 92.0%
  Multi-country2139.4% (36.1% - 42.9%)< 0.001; 88.2%
  North America4736.4% (33.4% - 39.6%)< 0.001; 88.9%
  South America337.2% (28.7% - 49.9%)< 0.001; 70.8%
Study design
  Observational22635.0% (33.5% - 36.6%)< 0.001; 92.9%0.004
  Clinical trial6239.5% (36.9% - 42.1%)< 0.001; 89.0%
Treatment status
  Partial population treated1027.5% (18.0% - 39.6%)< 0.001; 95.0%0.115
  Complete population treated15837.2% (35.6% - 38.9%)< 0.001; 89.6%
  Unknown/not treated12035.1% (32.9% - 37.4%)< 0.001; 94.2%
Source
  Primary tumor6018.9% (15.6% - 22.7%)< 0.001; 94.6%0.012
  Metastasis3721.2% (16.4% - 27.0%)< 0.001; 94.3%
  Both primary tumors and metastases4226.5% (23.0% - 30.4%)< 0.001; 96.4%
Mutation assessment methode
  Gel electrophoresis methods1341.1% (35.7% - 46.6%)0.001; 65.5%
  High-resolution melting1828.8% (23.7% - 34.6%)< 0.001; 97.3%
  Mass spectrometry1736.0% (32.2% - 40.0%)< 0.001; 92.2%
  Multiplex mutation assays2036.4% (33.1% - 39.9%)< 0.001; 87.2%
  Mutant allele specific PCR7737.4% (35.1% - 39.8%)< 0.001; 92.2%
  Next-generation sequencing1129.7% (20.1% - 41.7%)< 0.001; 97.1%
  Pyrosequencing3837.2% (33.9% - 40.6%)< 0.001; 88.9%
  Sanger/direct sequencing (PCR)14435.5% (34.0% - 37.0%)< 0.001; 86.3%
  Strip assay742.1% (38.9% - 45.3%)0.045; 53.4%
  Other1644.0% (37.4% - 50.7%)< 0.001; 96.3%
  Not reported1440.3% (33.1% - 47.9%)< 0.001; 96.1%
Study quality score
  ≤ 1617235.0% (33.1% - 37.0%)< 0.001; 94.5%0.073
  > 1611637.5% (35.7% - 39.3%)< 0.001; 85.4%
Study time period
  Pre-20072235.5% (32.3% - 38.9%)< 0.001; 63.9%0.105
  Includes 200711536.0% (33.7% - 38.4%)< 0.001; 90.0%
  Post-20076139.3% (36.7% - 42.0%)< 0.001; 91.5%
Median length of follow-up time
  < 25 months2934.6% (31.1% - 38.3%)< 0.001; 80.9%0.608
  ≥ 25 months3433.0% (28.1% - 38.3%)< 0.001; 91.7%
Meta-regression on follow-up time630.002 (-0.004 - 0.008)N/A0.583

 

Table 2. Overall Prevalence of BRAF Mutations in mCRC and Subgroups
 
N studiescSummary prevalence (95% CI)P-Het; I2P value for heterogeneity within subgroups
aGlobal exon estimate (most global estimate for a given exon contained within a manuscript); bCategories not mutually exclusive as some studies used multiple forms of mutation assessment methods, P value not calculated; cIndividual studies may contribute multiple prevalence estimates derived from independent study arms, so N refers to the number of independent prevalence estimates included in summary measure and may exceed the actual number of studies. mCRC: metastatic colorectal cancer; CI: confidence interval.
Overall1427.1% (6.5% - 7.8%)< 0.001; 66.3%
Exon 15a447.0% (6.1% - 8.1%)0.001; 45.8%
  Val600Glu (V600E)756.8% (5.8% - 7.9%)< 0.001; 76.9%0.002
  Asp594Gly40.6% (0.1% - 2.8%)0.064; 58.8%
Sex
  Male127.9% (6.5% - 9.7%)0.076; 39.7%0.018
  Female1211.0% (9.2% - 13.1%)0.260; 18.7%
Median age of study population
  < 62357.8% (6.6% - 9.1%)< 0.001; 55.5%0.970
  ≥ 62577.8% (6.7% - 9.1%)< 0.001; 68.6%
Meta-regression on median age920.012 (-0.014 - 0.036)N/A0.390
Race
  < 88% White/Caucasian77.1% (5.5% - 9.2%)0.915; 0.0%0.855
  ≥ 88% White/Caucasian57.6% (4.1% - 13.7%)0.007; 71.7%
Study location
  Asia296.0% (5.1% - 7.0%)0.175; 19.6%0.002
  Australia711.1% (8.6% - 14.2%)0.062; 49.9%
  Europe797.2% (6.3% - 8.1%)< 0.001; 68.2%
  Multi-country88.3% (5.4% - 12.5%)< 0.001; 83.3%
  North America196.6% (5.1% - 8.4%)0.001; 56.5%
Study design
  Observational1147.2% (6.5% - 7.9%)< 0.001; 65.4%0.897
  Clinical trial287.1% (5.7% - 8.7%)< 0.001; 70.5%
Treatment status
  Partial population treated85.9% (3.9% - 8.9%)0.168; 32.6%0.659
  Complete population treated767.2% (6.3% - 8.3%)< 0.001; 72.1%
  Unknown/not treated587.1% (6.3% - 8.0%)< 0.001; 57.3%
Source
  Primary tumor347.5% (6.3% - 8.7%)0.152; 20.1%0.832
  Metastasis166.4% (3.8% - 10.6%)< 0.001; 68.3%
  Both primary tumors and metastases207.1% (5.8% - 8.5%)0.039; 39.0%
Mutation assessment methodb
  Gel electrophoresis methods64.5% (2.5% - 7.9%)0.754; 0.0%
  High-resolution melting138.0% (5.9% - 10.9%)< 0.001; 79.0%
  Mass spectrometry135.4% (4.4% - 6.6%)0.044; 44.2%
  Multiplex mutation assays107.5% (5.8% - 9.6%)0.170; 29.9%
  Mutant allele specific PCR358.1% (7.0% - 9.2%)< 0.001; 57.0%
  Next-generation sequencing67.4% (5.7% - 9.5%)0.974; 0.0%
  Not reported77.1% (4.6% - 10.9%)0.010; 64.2%
  Other63.9% (2.3% - 6.4%)0.004; 71.2%
  Pyrosequencing199.1% (7.2% - 11.4%)< 0.001; 74.3%
  Sanger/direct sequencing (PCR)696.8% (6.1% - 7.6%)0.004; 33.6%
Study quality score
  ≤ 16707.2% (6.4% - 8.0%)< 0.001; 58.5%0.803
  > 16727.0% (6.1% - 8.1%)< 0.001; 70.7%
Study time period
  Pre-2007106.3% (4.2% - 9.5%)0.038; 49.4%0.520
  Includes 2007597.4% (6.2% - 8.7%)< 0.001; 73.1%
  Post-2007286.3% (4.2% - 9.5%)0.098; 26.7%
Median length of follow-up time
  < 25 months129.7% (6.1% - 15.0%)< 0.001; 71.9%0.271
  ≥ 25 months247.4% (6.1% - 8.8%)0.002; 51.6%
Meta-regression on follow-up time36-0.005 (-0.015; 0.005)N/A0.314

 

Table 3. Overall Prevalence of NRAS Mutations in mCRC and Subgroups
 
N StudieseSummary prevalence (95% CI)P-Het; I2P value for heterogeneity within subgroups
aGlobal exon estimate (most global estimate for a given exon contained within a manuscript); bCodon specified in papers as existing within exon 1, exon 2, exon 3 or unspecified; cP values assess differences between global exon estimates only; dCategories not mutually exclusive as some studies used multiple forms of mutation assessment methods, P value not calculated; eIndividual studies may contribute multiple prevalence estimates derived from independent study arms, so N refers to the number of independent prevalence estimates included in summary measure and may exceed the actual number of studies; fP value assesses differences between codon estimates. *N < 3, insufficient studies to run a meta-analysis. mCRC: metastatic colorectal cancer; CI: confidence interval.
Overall494.1% (3.5% - 4.8%)< 0.001; 56.0%
Exon 2a62.3% (1.4% - 3.7%)0.127; 41.8%
  Codon 12b72.2% (1.6% - 3.0%)0.209; 28.7%< 0.001f
  Codon 13b40.7% (0.5% - 1.0%)0.927; 0.0%
Exon 3a52.4% (1.1% - 5.0%)0.003; 75.5%
  Codon 61b103.6% (2.6% - 5.0%)0.065; 44.1%
Exon 4a30.6% (0.1% - 3.9%)0.991; 0.0%
P value between exonsc0.368
Sex
  Male****
  Female***
Median age of study population
  < 62123.7% (3.0% - 4.7%)0.863; 0.0%0.479
  ≥ 62124.3% (3.2% - 5.6%)0.036; 47.1%
Meta-regression on median age240.006 (-0.048 - 0.060)N/A0.822
Race
  < 88% White/Caucasian****
  ≥ 88% White/Caucasian35.8% (3.4% - 9.8%)0.954; 0.0%
Study location
  Asia133.0% (2.0% - 4.5%)0.009; 54.5%0.108
  Australia***
  Europe224.6% (3.7% - 5.8%)< 0.001; 64.6%
  Multi-country35.8% (3.4% - 9.8%)0.954; 0.0%
  North America103.6% (2.9% - 4.5%)0.980; 0.0%
Study design
  Observational393.9% (3.3% - 4.7%)< 0.001; 61.9%0.105
  Clinical trial105.3% (3.9% - 7.1%)0.544; 0.0%
Treatment status
  Partial population treated53.5% (2.1% - 6.0%)0.940; 0.0%0.840
  Complete population treated154.2% (3.3% - 5.3%)0.336; 10.5%
  Unknown/not treated294.1% (3.3% - 5.0%)< 0.001; 69.5%
Source
  Primary tumor83.4% (2.4% - 4.8%)0.026; 55.9%0.318
  Metastasis64.9% (3.4% - 7.0%)0.936; 0.0%
  Both primary tumors and metastases93.5% (2.5% - 4.9%)0.019; 56.3%
Mutation assessment methodd
  High-resolution melting63.0% (1.7% - 5.1%)< 0.001; 84.6%
  Mass spectrometry114.0% (3.2% - 5.0%)0.023; 51.8%
  Multiplex mutation assays44.2% (3.3% - 5.4%)0.233; 29.8%
  Mutant allele specific PCR74.3% (3.4% - 5.3%)0.253; 23.1%
  Next-generation sequencing84.9% (3.9% - 6.2%)0.309; 15.4%
  Other34.5% (2.6% - 7.6%)0.064; 63.6%
  Pyrosequencing95.1% (3.6% - 7.3%)< 0.001; 72.4%
  Sanger/direct sequencing (PCR)204.5% (4.0% - 5.0%)0.483; 0.0%
  Strip assay***
Study quality score
  ≤ 16293.8% (3.0% - 4.8%)< 0.001; 69.0%0.151
  > 16204.7% (4.0% - 5.5%)0.535; 0.0%
Study time period
  Pre-2007***
  Includes 200793.7% (2.9% - 4.7%)0.447; 0.0%0.247
  Post-2007264.5% (3.6% - 5.6%)< 0.001; 63.2%
Median length of follow-up time
  < 25 months****
  ≥ 25 months74.1% (3.0% - 5.5%)0.998; 0.0%
Meta-regression on follow-up time0.000 (-0.012 - 0.012)N/A0.957

 

Table 4. Hazard Ratios and Median Overall and Progression-Free Survival by Mutation Status
 
Overall survivalProgression-free survival
N studiesHR (95% CI)P-Het; I2N studiesHR (95% CI)P-Het; I2
*N < 3 (studies), insufficient for meta-analysis. mCRC: metastatic colorectal cancer; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval.
Survival analysis (mutant vs. wild-type)
  KRAS471.49 (1.37 - 1.64)< 0.001; 50.2%251.62 (1.33 - 1.97)< 0.001; 83.1%
  BRAF322.83 (2.23 - 3.58)< 0.001; 84.1%122.90 (1.84 - 4.56)< 0.001; 91.3%
  NRAS41.88 (1.35 - 2.62)0.795; 0.0%***
Median survivalMedian months (95% CI)Median months (95% CI)
  KRAS mutant4113.41 (11.35 - 15.83)< 0.001; 96.8%424.48 (3.58 - 5.62)< 0.001; 99.2%
  KRAS wild-type4217.00 (14.52 - 19.89)< 0.001; 96.8%495.98 (4.74 - 7.54)< 0.001; 99.3%
  P value for difference0.0220.04
  BRAF mutant128.71 (6.54 - 11.59)< 0.001; 90.1%115.05 (3.67 - 6.96)< 0.001; 88.6%
  BRAF wild-type1317.19 (13.00 - 22.74)< 0.001; 96.6%128.26 (6.78 - 10.07)< 0.001; 93.5%
  P value for difference< 0.0010.005